KenPom Projections
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  1. #1
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    KenPom Projections

    2009 basketball schedule for Iowa St.

    He has ISU going 13-18 (3-13), and only favored for one league game.



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    Re: KenPom Projections

    He's prolly right, cuz he was right last year...



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    Re: KenPom Projections

    This guy, by the way, does a better job of projections in college basketball than anyone. All his stuff is stats-based, and keyed upon per-possession and not per-game averages. It's really good stuff for basketball stats junkies.

    Before you peg him as a hater.



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    Re: KenPom Projections

    i only see him with 1 conf win but it says 3-13?



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    Re: KenPom Projections

    According to that, in 12/16 conference games we have 15% or less chance of winning.

    I think we beat Jacksonville St. though.



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    Re: KenPom Projections

    Interesting analysis, but there is no way in hell we win only 1 conference game this year. Or else I may auction off my ISU fanhood on ebay.

    I'm thinking somewhere along the lines of 3-5. CU, KSU, NU all at home should give us more than 1 win.



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    Re: KenPom Projections

    Quote Originally Posted by clonedboy View Post
    i only see him with 1 conf win but it says 3-13?
    Think statistics class.

    If you have a 49% chance to win each of two games, odds are individually you will lose each one. However, The odds of both together are that you will win one of two. So if you add up the percentages of all the league games, you'll get somewhere between 250 and 350%, or 3 wins.


    Last edited by kucyclone; 12-15-2008 at 06:15 PM.

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    Re: KenPom Projections

    Quote Originally Posted by LindenCy View Post
    According to that, in 12/16 conference games we have 15% or less chance of winning.

    I think we beat Jacksonville St. though.
    I sure hope we beat them as well. He have more quality wins right now than we do with wins at U Mass (and they just beat Kansas) and they spanked VMI by 28.


    ISU Grad 1997.
    ISU Fan for Life.

    Not in CO anymore but I'm not changing my name :)

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    Re: KenPom Projections

    One more thing, this all changes as the season goes on. If we win our next three games, you'll likely see our projection change to 4 or 5 league wins.



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    Re: KenPom Projections

    Fan-up! Jacksonville State game is going to tough! Come out and support!



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    Re: KenPom Projections

    I think that is pretty accurate.



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    Re: KenPom Projections

    He also says Missouri will finish the year with 3 losses. Really?


    Go Sssssssssyclones!

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    Re: KenPom Projections

    Garbage 1 win in the Big 12


    Occam's Razor means 'With all things being equal , the simplest explanation/answer is normally the right one'


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    Re: KenPom Projections

    Quote Originally Posted by AirWalke View Post
    He also says Missouri will finish the year with 3 losses. Really?
    And that Northwestern will go 22-7?



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    Re: KenPom Projections

    Um, he doesn't actually make the predictions.



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