Why Not This Year?...
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    Why Not This Year?...

    Let me preface this entire entry by saying that ever since the day GC was hired I have circled the 2009 season as the "breakout" year for ISU. However the more I read and hear about both our team and the various updates on our opponents it really makes me pose the question "why not this year?".

    I am not going to go crazy and predict a national title or anything completely out of the realm of possibility, so stick with me and let me know if I am crazy or maybe, just maybe, crazy like a fox.

    SDSU: W
    I think we have seen the end of losing to lesser competition in the non-conference games. Last year was heartbreaking early on, but we learned later in the year that the staff and team were not on the same page at the start of the season. They will not have that problem this year.

    Kent State: W
    As above we will start taking care of the teams we are "supposed" to beat. Combine that with an instant reminder of not taking this team for granted (cue last years game tape) and we will be off to a 2-0 start.

    @ Iowa: Toss Up - Leaning Toward W
    This game has become an annual toss up in recent years and I usually lean towards the home team, but with all that is and will be swirling around the Iowa program, team, and coaches they will be prime for the picking. I will even go as far as saying that this might be the most important game in this series from an ISU standpoint in a LONG time. A win in IC combined with all of their other issues might finally light the fuse on the powder keg and blow the Iowa program out of relevance for more than a couple of years.

    @ UNLV: W
    Don't think that this will be as easy as it should be, but once again this is a team we "should" beat and if we are coming into it with a 3-0 record I can't see us dropping the ball here. It will also be a home away from home environment in the desert that day.

    Kansas: Leaning toward L, but not sharpening that pencil yet
    Everything you hear and read about KU tells you that they are set up for a major fall from grace this season. We might still be a year away from overtaking them, but if we are 4-0 headed into this game JTS will be rocking and could be the "breakthrough" game we have been looking for.

    @ Baylor: W
    We have one very big key in this game: coaching. GC knows Baylor and will have a game plan that will not allow us to lose. Probably the first win of the GC era that will be directly attributed to out-coaching our opponent.

    Nebraska: Leaning toward L, but probably more of a toss up
    Key factors in ISU's favor: likely coming in with 5-1/4-2 record, JTS advantage, Nebraska has 1st year head coach with new system, Nebraska defensive back 7 is in TOTAL rebuild. This one could get interesting.

    Texas A&M: Leaning toward L, but probably more of a toss up
    Just like the Huskers the Aggies are coming in with a 1st year coach and a totally new system. Their o line is not set up for the pro-style offense they are putting in. They will be in a quarterback battle between the incumbent and their up and comer. Their former tailback is going to be a fullback this year and is NOT happy about it. This could be a BIG win for ISU.

    @ Oklahoma St: Probable L
    If we come into this one at 5-3 or better as I believe we will our momentum will really be rolling and may be able to propel us to a win. However this game just scares me for some reason. I hope I am wrong.

    @ Colorado: Probable L
    CU is one year ahead of us in the rebuilding process and I think we will be just a half step behind in Boulder.

    Missouri: Probable L
    I think Mizzou is all they are cracked up to be this year. It will be the last year for the major components of their team so 09 will be the year to jump over them.

    @ Kansas State: Toss up - Leaning toward W
    No program/coaching staff in the north is more on the hot seat this season than KSU. I would feel MUCH better if this one is in Ames, but I predict us to be coming into this one with a 5-6 record with the smell of the post-season in our nostrils. I don't think we let that opportunity slip through the cracks and pull out a tight one over the cats.


    That would give us a 6-6 record and a bottom level bowl with wins over SDSU, Kent St, UNLV, Baylor, KSU, and 1 of the following 4: Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, or A&M.

    For this team on year 2 of the staff 6-6 with a bowl would be a fantastic accomplishment and I really think it is there for the taking.

    Now you can tell me if I am wrong:



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    Re: Why Not This Year?...

    Not crazy, if anything to me you underestimated the W's. I think my official record is 7-5, but I think we could get to 9-3. Granted, I'm a little drunk on GC kool-aid after reading the media days interview. Also, I probably shouldn't have sniffed that model airplane glue all morning.


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    Re: Why Not This Year?...

    I don't understand why you think this post makes you crazy like a fox... more like mentally stable like a cricket?

    6-6 is very realistic. Good post.



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    Re: Why Not This Year?...

    I don't think 6-6 would get us to a bowl game. 6-6 and 2-6/3-5 would probably still put us as the 10th team in the Big 12.



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    Re: Why Not This Year?...

    Quote Originally Posted by cloneu View Post
    I don't think 6-6 would get us to a bowl game. 6-6 and 2-6/3-5 would probably still put us as the 10th team in the Big 12.
    I think that 6-6 and 2-6/3-5 would put us ahead of Baylor, K-State, and either A&M or Nebraska, good enough for 9th. There were 9 Big 12 teams that went bowling last year.

    Hard to tell where 6-6 would put us, though, without doing a thorough breakdown of the entire Big 12 schedule.



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    Re: Why Not This Year?...

    By the way, is SDSU a division 1 football program? Do they count in our win total for bowl eligibility??



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    Re: Why Not This Year?...

    Quote Originally Posted by cloneu View Post
    I don't think 6-6 would get us to a bowl game. 6-6 and 2-6/3-5 would probably still put us as the 10th team in the Big 12.
    I think the only way 6-6 would have us bowling would be to get at least five, if not all six wins in the conference. I'd be far more comfortable at 7-5, pulling four of those Ws in conference. Will it happen? That I do not know...



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    Re: Why Not This Year?...

    Nebraska will have tough sledding at Ames even if they sell out the hillsides.


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    Re: Why Not This Year?...

    Quote Originally Posted by cstrunk View Post
    By the way, is SDSU a division 1 football program? Do they count in our win total for bowl eligibility??
    Yes, that rule changed last year or the year before. Under the old rule, you could count a I-AA win toward your total every so many years (one out of four? I don't remember that part...) With twelve games, I don't think any FBS teams play more than one game against FCS teams. And if they do, I think they can only count one...



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    Re: Why Not This Year?...

    I’m not going to say best case scenario because best case scenario is 14-0 Big XII/BCS National Championship; however, IMO 6-6 should be the goal for this team. 6-6 is challenging yet attainable.



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    Re: Why Not This Year?...

    Quote Originally Posted by cardinal&gold View Post
    I think that 6-6 and 2-6/3-5 would put us ahead of Baylor, K-State, and either A&M or Nebraska, good enough for 9th. There were 9 Big 12 teams that went bowling last year.

    Hard to tell where 6-6 would put us, though, without doing a thorough breakdown of the entire Big 12 schedule.
    As long as we can get 3 non-conf wins, the Neb. game is going to be huge and have a good chance of deciding the 9/10th spots. Of course if neb gets an early loss to W. Michigan or SJSU they may only get to 5 wins anyway.



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    Re: Why Not This Year?...

    Quote Originally Posted by cloneu View Post
    I don't think 6-6 would get us to a bowl game. 6-6 and 2-6/3-5 would probably still put us as the 10th team in the Big 12.
    Depends on how we go 6-6.

    If we start 4-0 and then finish with a 6-6 record, even if the 2 conference wins are the final 2 games or over the best opponents in the Big 12 - we don't go, IMO.

    But if we start 3-1 with that loss to Iowa and win 3 conference games to finish 6-6 - I think we make a bowl game.

    I think anything from 4-8 to 6-6 is very realistic. I think 7 wins is within the realm of possibility and 8+ would be on the rather optimistic side.



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    Re: Why Not This Year?...

    i think we will beat nebraska. they lost alot of talent from last year


    This is Ophion speaking.

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    Re: Why Not This Year?...

    Quote Originally Posted by demoncore1031 View Post
    i think we will beat nebraska. they lost alot of talent from last year
    Don't you need to have talent before you can lose it?



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    Re: Why Not This Year?...

    Quote Originally Posted by cloneu View Post
    Don't you need to have talent before you can lose it?
    I do believe Bill Callahan will go down in history as the number one college coach (closely followed by Lloyd Carr) to do so little with so much talent



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