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    BBBBRRRR - Turn up the heat


    Br-r-r! Where did global warming go? - The Boston Globe
    Br-r-r! Where did global warming go?

    By Jeff Jacoby
    Globe Columnist / January 6, 2008
    THE STARK headline appeared just over a year ago. "2007 to be 'warmest on record,' " BBC News reported on Jan. 4, 2007. Citing experts in the British government's Meteorological Office, the story announced that "the world is likely to experience the warmest year on record in 2007," surpassing the all-time high reached in 1998.

    But a funny thing happened on the way to the planetary hot flash: Much of the planet grew bitterly cold.
    In South America, for example, the start of winter last year was one of the coldest ever observed. According to Eugenio Hackbart, chief meteorologist of the MetSul Weather Center in Brazil, "a brutal cold wave brought record low temperatures, widespread frost, snow, and major energy disruption." In Buenos Aires, it snowed for the first time in 89 years, while in Peru the cold was so intense that hundreds of people died and the government declared a state of emergency in 14 of the country's 24 provinces. In August, Chile's agriculture minister lamented "the toughest winter we have seen in the past 50 years," which caused losses of at least $200 million in destroyed crops and livestock.
    Latin Americans weren't the only ones shivering.
    University of Oklahoma geophysicist David Deming, a specialist in temperature and heat flow, notes in the Washington Times that "unexpected bitter cold swept the entire Southern Hemisphere in 2007." Johannesburg experienced its first significant snowfall in a quarter-century. Australia had its coldest ever June. New Zealand's vineyards lost much of their 2007 harvest when spring temperatures dropped to record lows.
    Closer to home, 44.5 inches of snow fell in New Hampshire last month, breaking the previous record of 43 inches, set in 1876. And the Canadian government is forecasting the coldest winter in 15 years.
    Now all of these may be short-lived weather anomalies, mere blips in the path of the global climatic warming that Al Gore and a host of alarmists proclaim the deadliest threat we face. But what if the frigid conditions that have caused so much distress in recent months signal an impending era of global cooling?
    "Stock up on fur coats and felt boots!" advises Oleg Sorokhtin, a fellow of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences and senior scientist at Moscow's Shirshov Institute of Oceanography. "The latest data . . . say that earth has passed the peak of its warmer period, and a fairly cold spell will set in quite soon, by 2012."
    Sorokhtin dismisses the conventional global warming theory that greenhouse gases, especially human-emitted carbon dioxide, is causing the earth to grow hotter. Like a number of other scientists, he points to solar activity - sunspots and solar flares, which wax and wane over time - as having the greatest effect on climate.
    "Carbon dioxide is not to blame for global climate change," Sorokhtin writes in an essay for Novosti. "Solar activity is many times more powerful than the energy produced by the whole of humankind." In a recent paper for the Danish National Space Center, physicists Henrik Svensmark and Eigil Friis-Christensen concur: "The sun . . . appears to be the main forcing agent in global climate change," they write.
    Given the number of worldwide cold events, it is no surprise that 2007 didn't turn out to be the warmest ever. In fact, 2007's global temperature was essentially the same as that in 2006 - and 2005, and 2004, and every year back to 2001. The record set in 1998 has not been surpassed. For nearly a decade now, there has been no global warming. Even though atmospheric carbon dioxide continues to accumulate - it's up about 4 percent since 1998 - the global mean temperature has remained flat. That raises some obvious questions about the theory that CO2 is the cause of climate change.
    Yet so relentlessly has the alarmist scenario been hyped, and so disdainfully have dissenting views been dismissed, that millions of people assume Gore must be right when he insists: "The debate in the scientific community is over."
    But it isn't. Just last month, more than 100 scientists signed a strongly worded open letter pointing out that climate change is a well-known natural phenomenon, and that adapting to it is far more sensible than attempting to prevent it. Because slashing carbon dioxide emissions means retarding economic development, they warned, "the current UN approach of CO2 reduction is likely to increase human suffering from future climate change rather than to decrease it."
    Climate science isn't a religion, and those who dispute its leading theory are not heretics. Much remains to be learned about how and why climate changes, and there is neither virtue nor wisdom in an emotional rush to counter global warming - especially if what's coming is a global Big Chill.
    Jeff Jacoby's e-mail address is jacoby@globe.com.


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    Re: BBBBRRRR - Turn up the heat

    Yet another misinformed article. Just because the average global temperature rises a few degrees does not mean instead of it being 43 one day, it's 45. And just because a portion of South America gets its first snow in 89 years doesn't mean that the planet is getting colder instead of warmer.


    Go Sssssssssyclones!

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    Re: BBBBRRRR - Turn up the heat

    The high Sierras and ski resorts look pretty snowy this year.


    Let my Fred's Posse Ride: Georges, Naz, Hogue, Bryce, Nader, Monte, Matt, and McKay.

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    Re: BBBBRRRR - Turn up the heat

    I still have not seen an answer as to why the ice caps on Mars are melting. Are there so many CO2 emmissions from our cars we are able to affect those ice caps as well?



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    Re: BBBBRRRR - Turn up the heat

    the government is causing global warming with all the hot air they are blowing on capital hill. i honestly dont believe in global warming i think our climate change is a natural cycle and we really have nothing much to do with it


    dan k

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    Re: BBBBRRRR - Turn up the heat

    To me the thought of man-made global warming is the most arrogant thing we as humans have ever said. The human race feels as a whole we can control everything, clearly this is not true. Once again, man-made global warming is the ultimate in arrogance the human race has ever come forward with. Face it people, there ARE things humans CANNOT control.



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    Re: BBBBRRRR - Turn up the heat

    Quote Originally Posted by twojman View Post
    To me the thought of man-made global warming is the most arrogant thing we as humans have ever said. The human race feels as a whole we can control everything, clearly this is not true. Once again, man-made global warming is the ultimate in arrogance the human race has ever come forward with. Face it people, there ARE things humans CANNOT control.

    wait? really?


    Don't confuse hope for a plan.

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    Re: BBBBRRRR - Turn up the heat

    Quote Originally Posted by twojman View Post
    To me the thought of man-made global warming is the most arrogant thing we as humans have ever said. The human race feels as a whole we can control everything, clearly this is not true. Once again, man-made global warming is the ultimate in arrogance the human race has ever come forward with. Face it people, there ARE things humans CANNOT control.
    you are right in that humans do not CONTROL everything and this is something we definitely do not control. we do however have an effect on this planet and it's weather, you cannot debate that. Earth would be a much different planet without humans, but then yet again, it would be different if there were no Penguins. We sometimes blowup and overemphasize our effects on this world we live on, but we do affect it. But you would be amazed at how this world can adapt to things and the creatures that inhabit it.


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    Re: BBBBRRRR - Turn up the heat

    Fact: 2007's average global temperature (58.0 degrees) ranks this past year as the 5th warmest (in 128 years) since records began in 1880, and the 8th warmest for the continental U.S.

    This is yet again another example of an article written by someone who really doesn't understand the concept of global warming. And by the way, he might want to check out the temps in the Chicago area. We set a record today at 60 and the day before as well which were both the warmest temps for these days in over 100 years.



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    Re: BBBBRRRR - Turn up the heat

    Global warming is a trend, and personally, I hope it continues for about 50 years before it reverses itself after I'm long gone.



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    Re: BBBBRRRR - Turn up the heat

    Quote Originally Posted by Wesley View Post
    The high Sierras and ski resorts look pretty snowy this year.
    Actually, the ski resorts in the rockies were hurting for snow up until a few weeks before christmas. Most of them were 2 feet below average snowfall.
    But, you are right, right now they are getting dumped on.
    From what I have heard this is the year in a 5 year rotation that the snowfall is below average out west.
    Just my 2 cents.



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    Re: BBBBRRRR - Turn up the heat

    Quote Originally Posted by Klubber View Post
    Fact: 2007's average global temperature (58.0 degrees) ranks this past year as the 5th warmest (in 128 years) since records began in 1880, and the 8th warmest for the continental U.S.

    This is yet again another example of an article written by someone who really doesn't understand the concept of global warming. And by the way, he might want to check out the temps in the Chicago area. We set a record today at 60 and the day before as well which were both the warmest temps for these days in over 100 years.
    100 years is about as significant in the grand scheme of things as one fart's contribution to global methane.



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    Re: BBBBRRRR - Turn up the heat

    Scientists are becoming more and more mystified as to why the earth hasn't risen in temp over the last seven years or so.


    “Science investigates; religion interprets. Science gives man knowledge, which is power; religion gives man wisdom, which is control. Science deals mainly with facts; religion deals mainly with values. The two are not rivals. They are complementary.”

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    Re: BBBBRRRR - Turn up the heat

    My meteo prof always said that all of this is crap because the earth's climate have 10,000 year periods of slight cooling and warming. Right now we're near the end of a cooling one he said.


    @RandomGeoFacts

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    Re: BBBBRRRR - Turn up the heat

    The premise of this article appears to be totally unrelated to the question of long-term climate change. No scientists in that field are trying to predict one year changes in temperatures; they are concerned with average changes over long time periods, such as what will happen on average over the next 50 or 100 years.

    Indeed, if the author of this article had bothered to follow his own link to the BBC article a year ago, he would have discovered the following comment from the head of the research center that made the prediction:

    "The other factor which allows us to make a forecast that whether one year is significantly different from the next is the effect of the El Nino."

    Source: BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | 2007 to be 'warmest on record'

    The scientists trying to predict trends for 1 month, 3 months, or 1 year, are a totally different group from those studying long-term climate change; using what I understand to be unrelated models. These are the folks that made concepts such as El Niño, La Niña, and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) household words, which was the primary basis of this prediction, not CO2.



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