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  1. #1
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    Thanksgiving week travel

    sounds like it's going to get mighty interesting next week

    AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
    314 PM CST THU NOV 15 2007


    ...WINDING UP A MAJOR WINTER STORM ACROSS
    IOWA ON THE EVE OF THANKSGIVING. OTHER MODELS INCLUDING ENSEMBLE
    MEANS ARE MUCH WEAKER AND MAINTAIN MORE OF AN OPEN WAVE THAT STAYS
    TO OUR SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER...EVEN THE GFS ENSEMBLE GIVES A FAIRLY
    HIGH PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION OVER IOWA WED AND WED
    NIGHT...FALLING THROUGH AIR COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW.

    SOME RAIN IS POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS MONDAY WITH COLD FRONT
    PASSAGE...THEN WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLED TO OUR SOUTHEAST AND
    BANDS OF MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING AND ISENTROPIC LIFT TO
    THE NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY...BUT WITH LOW CONFIDENCE ON TIMING AND
    AMOUNTS...WILL JUST MAINTAIN A LOW CHC OF PRECIP RIGHT ON THRU
    THANKSGIVING DAY. A SLIGHT NOD TO BETTER CHANCES OF PRECIP WILL BE
    GIVEN TO TUESDAY...THEN AGAIN WED AND WED NIGHT. SEEMS THAT OVERALL
    TREND IN THE BULK OF THE MODELS IS TO BLEED COOLER AIR SOUTHEAST
    ACROSS IOWA THROUGH THE PERIOD...SO ALL RAIN INITIALLY WILL BECOME
    RAIN OR SNOW...POSSIBLY EVEN SOME SLEET DURING THE TRANSITION
    PERIODS...THEN LIKELY ANY PRECIP BY THANKSGIVING DAY WOULD FALL AS
    SNOW. AT THE VERY LEAST...WE COULD BE LOOKING AT 2 TO 3 DAYS OF
    UNSETTLED WEATHER...WITH SOME PRECIPITATION TYPE ISSUES DEVELOPING.
    AGAIN...THIS IS OUR BEST ATTEMPT TO PROVIDE SOME HOPEFULLY USEFUL
    DETAIL AS WE HEAD TOWARD A HOLIDAY TRAVEL PERIOD...BUT WE ARE STILL
    SEVERAL DAYS AWAY AND THERE IS MUCH TO BE IRONED OUT.



  2. #2
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    brianhos's Avatar
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    Re: Thanksgiving week travel

    Wooohooo!! Glad I am not going past my deck that weekend!

    But isn't it a little early to know this?


    They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety. - Benjamin Franklin 1775

  3. #3
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    wonkadog's Avatar
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    Re: Thanksgiving week travel

    Waaaaaay too early. However, some people like to start crapping their pants and running around like frightened little school girls early...and then they complain about the forecast being "wrong".



  4. #4
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    Re: Thanksgiving week travel

    I am flying back to Iowa from Texas on Wednesday night. I am more concerned about flight delays than I am driving conditions. GRrrr...



  5. #5
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    isufbcurt's Avatar
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    Re: Thanksgiving week travel

    Wow I am driving to Indiana this Sunday then coming back the following Saturday only to leave again Sunday to go to Oklahoma for a week. Could get very interesting!!!!! Glad the Explorer has 4 wheel drive.



  6. #6
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    Re: Thanksgiving week travel

    WOOOO!!!!!!!!!! I love snow and don't have far to travel so I'm cool with it.



  7. #7
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    Re: Thanksgiving week travel

    The wife, kids and I are flying to Rota, Spain.

    I will make sure that I get some beach sand in between my toes for all of you.


    A ship in port is safe, but that is not what ships are built for.


    A Man Is What He Does When It Counts

  8. #8
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    Re: Thanksgiving week travel

    Buying my Thxgiving groceries on Saturday. Brrrr. Warching KU-MU and Roger Sprague from Arrowhead on the weekend.


    Let my Fred's Posse Ride: Georges, Naz, Hogue, Bryce, Nader, Monte, Matt, and McKay.

  9. #9
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    Re: Thanksgiving week travel

    Ah, yes. The MU Fighting Roger Spragues. I hear that they are "Tuff as Rain".

    Too bad we don't have a Spraguean "simple".


    A ship in port is safe, but that is not what ships are built for.


    A Man Is What He Does When It Counts

  10. #10
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    Re: Thanksgiving week travel

    I did my traveling this past week. I visited Las Vegas to visit family, and to attend to some personal legal matters. At the same time I was leaving the court house (Tuesday), Mr. OJ Simpson was entering the facility. I thought that I had been around a media circus before, but the media that is covering this story is at another level.



  11. #11
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    Re: Thanksgiving week travel

    My wife, daughter and I are leaving for Des Moines on Saturday. Sounds like we'll be early enough to avoid the worst. We also need to drive to Eastern Iowa mid-week. I guess we'll play that by ear.


    ISU Grad 1997.
    ISU Fan for Life.

    Not in CO anymore but I'm not changing my name :)

  12. #12
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    Re: Thanksgiving week travel

    Quote Originally Posted by CyinCo View Post
    My wife, daughter and I are leaving for Des Moines on Saturday. Sounds like we'll be early enough to avoid the worst. We also need to drive to Eastern Iowa mid-week. I guess we'll play that by ear.
    I will wave on my way by to Greeley... :)


    Nothing to see here mods. Keep moving.

  13. #13
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    Re: Thanksgiving week travel

    Ohh goodie, I may get to test out the snowblower I just bought! Thankfully the family is staying in Ames this year.



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