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  1. #1
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    Twister Sister Summary - Previewing the Big 12: Offense

    I thought it would be interesting to take a look at the returning offensive power for the Big 12. Of course we know that Baylor is just plain scary, but this is a big picture writeup. So lets start with…

    Starters/Starter points returning
    This is calculated using the five players who started most often (teams have a pretty typical starting rotation), are returning this year, and their average from last season.

    Baylor (5) (61.6)
    Iowa State (3) (34.4)
    Kansas (4) (44.6)
    Kansas State (3) (24.9)
    Oklahoma (5) (50.5) Note – There were two players that split the fifth starting spot evenly. I averaged their ppg to 5.1
    Oklahoma State (5) (53.2)
    Texas (2) (21.5)
    Texas Christian (4) (28.8)
    Texas Tech (4) (33.2)This stat line is also a melding of a few players who had nearly an equal number of starts. Their stat lines were averaged.
    West Virginia (5) (39.2) Aysa Bussie is out for the season with a knee injury. Her stats have been removed and she is not included as a returning starter. They show five returners as their 6th player (time played/starts) is also back. Aysa was a 12 point per game starter at 6’4”.

    After looking at the numbers, Its obvious that the sisters have some ground to make up to match scoring with a few of these teams. What isn’t being factored in is the defense which I will write about next. For now though we can make a few assumptions about each team based only on offensive performance.

    Baylor – not only has 5 starters back, but much of their depth. They need to enjoy it this year as next year they will be dropping off severely. They have the blessing of an inside/outside game that can dice opponents to shreds. Pick your poison.

    Iowa State – going to be tough inside. A healthy Prins is the wildcard in that aspect of the game as is a, hopefully stronger, Hal. The question mark is performance from the 2 position. Will Iowa State finally find a 3 point threat at the 2?

    Kansas – the surprise team of the NCAA’s last year. They return their top scorer and ISU’s Achilles’ heal – Davis and she’s not alone. This is a tough group and they play well together. Goodrich and Knight are killer 3 point shooters (both at almost 39%).

    Kansas State – Finally, Jalana Childs is gone. She was a force last year as a senior and tough for anyone to stop. There’s not much scoring coming back from a rebuilding team. Could be a very long year unless a frosh shows up. A VERY short team with the tallest player coming in at 6’1”.

    Oklahoma – loaded for bear (pun intended) and ready to roll. This is a very experienced team and will probably be battling for 2nd place in the league. They not only return 5 starters, but are deep on the bench. They mirror the Iowa State way by counting on 3 point shots from Ellenberg and Hook who both hit in the upper 30% range.

    Oklahoma State – A very young team last year that survived the loss of their head coach and one assistant to that tragic plane crash. They came together and impressed late in the season by winning the WNIT. I discount that only marginally as all the games were played at home. Def a team to keep an eye on as they are capable of scoring and running the ball. Even though all those tournament games were at home, winning brings with it confidence.

    Texas – This is the unknown team of the conference. Very little returns including the head coach. What will the new offensive philosophy be? I suspect, considering her lineage, it will mirror that of long time coach Jody Conradt. With so little coming back this team will be a mystery for a little while.

    TCU – picked to finish dead last in the Big 12, TCU’s offense circles around former ISU player Whitney Williams. She will be at the point and is their leading 3 point shooter. The team isn’t tall and is very young. Probably will be a rough one for the Frogs.

    Texas Tech – Another team that will probably struggle this year. They def bring back experience, but not much scoring in that group. Not much of a threat outside the 3 point line, they have size in the middle and much of their experience now lies with a junior class meaning they know they have to step up as leaders. They only return one double digit scorer (Casey Morris a senior guard), but they had a lot of players start different games last year. This is a team that could surprise.

    West Virginia – Goodbye ATM, hello WVU. We lost the defensive monsters of the big 12 to the SEC and gained a power team from the Big East. They might have lost Bussie (a BIG loss), but have the depth that someone else will step up. This will probably be Dunning, a 6’ 3” post. Not a lot of size here with the loss of Bussie, but this team returns 5 of their top 6 players from a 5th place Big East finish. Can’t wait to see Taylor Palmer enter the ring. This girl is not afraid to throw up the rock, shooting 241 three point shots last year and hitting 31% of them. You know she will be on Coach Fennelly’s radar. Not a good free throw shooting team outside of Hampton.

    So it appears we could have some high flyers (Baylor, OU and WVU) and some low rollers (TTech, K-State, and TCU), but it will be those in the middle that make life interesting in this conference. All are capable of pulling the upset and of being beaten. None in the middle has shown a consistent propensity to score. If you can’t score you’d better play defense…quess what’s up next?



  2. #2
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    Re: Twister Sister Summary - Previewing the Big 12: Offense

    Nice write up!...will be an interesting year for sure.

    I'm excited to see what our frosh guards can do for our offense.



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    Re: Twister Sister Summary - Previewing the Big 12: Offense

    Quote Originally Posted by CY9008 View Post
    ...


    I'm excited to see what our frosh guards can do for our offense.

    Going out on a limb a bit, I'm predicting our offense will be MUCH better this year than last. A healthy Anna has more points. The new guards, while inexperienced, have more production potential than the two we lost. Chassidy's strength was defense, not offense. So right there, you gain points. Think of the versatility of each player on offense. Simply having more offensive threats could help the shooting percentage because opponents won't be able stack the deck against specific players.


    So it might come down to whether we can also match better offense with good enough defense.



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    Re: Twister Sister Summary - Previewing the Big 12: Offense

    I'm still waiting and hoping for Hallie to step up with confidence to her potential by getting mad and taking charge. Added strength might be impetus. I think she has the best inside and out skill set.


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    you are right. Henry Ford

  5. #5
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    Re: Twister Sister Summary - Previewing the Big 12: Offense

    I agree the potential for more scoring is there. Potential doesn't always play out. Harris was a hot shot 3 point shooter from California and never really showed any consistency in college. You just have to wait and see how they make that transition.



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    Re: Twister Sister Summary - Previewing the Big 12: Offense

    Thanks, Cous, for the very informative write-up. Appreciate it, keep them coming. Looking forward to this
    season.



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