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  1. #1
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    BCS Rankings: Humans vs Computers

    Did this brief blog post on my personal website comparing the human polls (Coaches and Harris) to that of the unbiased computers and computer average in the initial BCS Rankings. Showing which teams may be over-rated and under-rated by the human pollsters. I knew Iowa State would be under-rated, but was surprised by how much and which other teams are getting no love from the human pollsters.


    BCS Rankings: Humans vs. Computers | Severe Plains



    Hint: Iowa State ends up being the most under-rated team!



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    Re: BCS Rankings: Humans vs Computers

    Yup. The whole human voting process is flawed, from starting ratings too early, to philosophies that teams can't drop if they don't lose, to philosophies that teams *have* to drop if they do lose even if to a significantly higher ranked team (in other words, performing as they should have for that ranking, yet being dropped)



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    Re: BCS Rankings: Humans vs Computers

    Yeah, the human pollsters start with a preconceived notion of how good a team is by how good they've been in the past, which is why the traditional powers get a head start every year in the polls, and have to prove they don't belong in the polls, while teams like ISU have to prove they do.



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    Re: BCS Rankings: Humans vs Computers

    I agree that human polls are biased, but I think there are obvious flaws to the computer rankings too. I think in an ideal world for BCS selection you'd have some sort of committee similar to basketball that only meets at the end of the year and preferably would take computer rankings as a starting point and adjust from there.



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    Re: BCS Rankings: Humans vs Computers

    One thing I like about our team is we are 4-2 against what Sagarin ranks as the 10th hardest schedule so far. And the two losses were both close games that could have gone either way.



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