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  1. #1
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    Chances on BCS ranking?

    #25 in Coaches Poll, #26 on Sagarin ELO-CHESS (USA TODAY) . . .

    Chances we sneak in at #25 in initial BCS standings tonight?



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    Re: Chances on BCS ranking?

    It has happened before...


    "Success is just failure that hasn't happened yet." - life advice from Latrell Spreewell



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    Re: Chances on BCS ranking?

    Much more worried about how we're going to slow down the lavender kitties



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    Re: Chances on BCS ranking?

    Tech losing makes it not a lock, but the computers usually like us so I expect us to sneak in to one of the last few slots this week.



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    Re: Chances on BCS ranking?

    Hm, looking at the computer rankings available

    Sagarin #26
    Massey, not published yet for this week, had us in the top 15 after last week, so might be still top 25 there as well.
    Wolfe: not published yet (at all)
    Colley: not updated for this week, #26 last week
    Billingsley: 21
    Anderson & hester: not updated this week, had us 26 last week

    So yes, with a win this week, and most of the ratings having us that close, its very possible



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    Re: Chances on BCS ranking?

    Quote Originally Posted by 83Clone View Post
    Much more worried about how we're going to slow down the lavender kitties
    Let the team worry about that.



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    Re: Chances on BCS ranking?

    The BCS uses 6 computer rankings, taking out the highest and lowest then dividing by 100. That 26 is one of the 6 rankings. 4 of the 6 rankings are available and we are ranked: 21, 26, (and two that haven't updated we were 26 last week before our win). 26 is the worst because you don't get any points towards the BCS score but you're still up there. So let's assume a 21, 20, 21, 26 just for the sake of argument.

    AP Poll - 54/2875 = 0.0188
    Coaches Poll - 73/1475 = 0.0495
    Computer Rankings - 5+6+5+0=16. 16/100 = .160

    (0.0188+0.0495+0.160)/3= BCS SCORE OF .0761

    Now some weeks that would've gotten us ranked, and others it wouldn't have. I had to make up the computer ranking formula too because they haven't released all of them yet...



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    Re: Chances on BCS ranking?

    AP poll not part of BCS formula.



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    Re: Chances on BCS ranking?

    Quote Originally Posted by ISUCyclones2015 View Post
    The BCS uses 6 computer rankings, taking out the highest and lowest then dividing by 100. That 26 is one of the 6 rankings. 4 of the 6 rankings are available and we are ranked: 21, 26, (and two that haven't updated we were 26 last week before our win). 26 is the worst because you don't get any points towards the BCS score but you're still up there. So let's assume a 21, 20, 21, 26 just for the sake of argument.

    AP Poll - 54/2875 = 0.0188
    Coaches Poll - 73/1475 = 0.0495
    Computer Rankings - 5+6+5+0=16. 16/100 = .160

    (0.0188+0.0495+0.160)/3= BCS SCORE OF .0761


    Now some weeks that would've gotten us ranked, and others it wouldn't have. I had to make up the computer ranking formula too because they haven't released all of them yet...
    too much math on a sunday for me



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    Re: Chances on BCS ranking?

    Instead of AP poll we're waiting on the harris poll. That will tell us a lot more.



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    Re: Chances on BCS ranking?

    Quote Originally Posted by iacyguy View Post
    too much math on any day for me
    FIFY.


    When Prepared, Fear No One.

  12. #12
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    Re: Chances on BCS ranking?

    Quote Originally Posted by HoopsTournament View Post
    AP poll not part of BCS formula.
    Shhh.. you didn't have to say that.

    The Harris Poll hasn't come out yet, so I used the AP Poll with the Harris Poll's denominator.

    ALSO, the BCS rankings don't come out till next week.



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    Re: Chances on BCS ranking?

    Fair enough



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    Re: Chances on BCS ranking?

    NCAA College Football Rankings - CBSSports.com

    Granted the BCS rankings are "projected". but they have ISU at #24.



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    Re: Chances on BCS ranking?

    Quote Originally Posted by CycloneSupt6 View Post
    NCAA College Football Rankings - CBSSports.com

    Granted the BCS rankings are "projected". but they have ISU at #24.
    Even projections are likely to be accurate within a couple of slots.

    Honestly didn't think ISU would get up to that level yet after TT loss -- but I guess since Tech is still fairly close to Top 25, and TCU was solidly inside top 20 ... makes numerical sense.



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