View Poll Results: what are the odds you think we win against UK

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  • Better than a 50/50 shot. I am kool aid crazy!

    8 5.63%
  • 50% We have a legit shot at winning

    17 11.97%
  • 25% A decent shot, but not likely

    64 45.07%
  • 15%

    38 26.76%
  • 5% chance, slim to none

    11 7.75%
  • 0% no chance in H*ll we win this game

    4 2.82%
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  1. #1
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    what are our chances to win against UK?

    with ol' skip giving us a zero percent chance to win, thought i would ask some kook aid drinking MF's what you think the odds are.

    considering this is the #1 overall seed in the tourney and it is in kentucky essentially a home game, I don't give us much of a shot. I think we have sweet 16 talent, but probably not enough to beat UK unless we play the perfect game. i'd give us about a 5% chance.

    what say you?



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    Re: what are our chances to win against UK?

    10%

    They are more talented across the board.
    They will have 20,000 of their own fans in the building.

    I'd say 5%, but they are young. And there's always a chance we just go nuts from beyond the arc.



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    Re: what are our chances to win against UK?

    I texted a friend earlier that 9 out of 10 games Kentucky beats us, but there is always that 1 game and lets hope it is tomorrow. It has been a great year for upsets with ISU athletics no reason to stop now.



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    Re: what are our chances to win against UK?

    3.14159265358



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    Re: what are our chances to win against UK?

    Quote Originally Posted by zwclones51 View Post
    3.14159265358
    Mmmmm, I like pi. /off topic

    on topic - 20%



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    Re: what are our chances to win against UK?

    We have shown up in every big game this year except at @ Baylor. The other games we lost (Both Mizzou and @KU) we were in the game and let it slip away. We will be in this game, and will fight to the end because the season is over if we lose. Should be an exciting game!



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    Re: what are our chances to win against UK?

    10 percent



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    Re: what are our chances to win against UK?

    15-25% range.

    they're not invincible as shown, fred will have our squad focused and has the intelligence to adjust




    Self proclaimed 2012 CF Newcomer of the Year

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    Re: what are our chances to win against UK?

    I'll predict just like the weather guy...
    If we win, 100%. If we lose, 0% chance.



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    Re: what are our chances to win against UK?

    I had this feeling going into the game yesterday that we were going to just drain it from 3. I was thinking that we could set a tourney record for most made 3 pointers.

    We started out that way and then just hunkered down for 2 pointers at the end.

    I think the 3 magic will carry over to this game. We have the ability to just go off at times and if/when we put it all together, it will be magical.

    Royce didn't have a huge game assist wise, because he was getting his inside and they adjusted to stay on the outside shooters more after the first 10. I think Royce will have a tougher time driving to the lane and that will lead to more passes out to the perimiter and more attempts from 3. If our boys get hot, watch out MildCats.



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    Re: what are our chances to win against UK?

    Kentuckys length and athleticism will make shooting 3s tough.



  12. #12
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    Re: what are our chances to win against UK?

    I think 50 - 50. The one thing this team has consistently done, is play to the level of our opponent. I expect the same tomorrow. I think our odds go to around 80% if we are within 6 with 5 minutes left to play. KY has played in a weak conference with few close games. If we're still in it with 5 minutes left, I think they'll fold like a house of cards.



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    Re: what are our chances to win against UK?

    If we score more points than them I think we have a pretty good shot!


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  14. #14
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    Re: what are our chances to win against UK?

    Quote Originally Posted by theyork View Post
    with ol' skip giving us a zero percent chance to win, thought i would ask some kook aid drinking MF's what you think the odds are.

    considering this is the #1 overall seed in the tourney and it is in kentucky essentially a home game, I don't give us much of a shot. I think we have sweet 16 talent, but probably not enough to beat UK unless we play the perfect game. i'd give us about a 5% chance.

    what say you?
    I was surprised to see that the #8/#9 seed has won 20% of the games against the #1 seed in the history of the 64+ team tourney. That is higher than I would have guessed.

    So, I would say between 20% and 30% chance. Definitely a shooter's chance.



  15. #15
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    Re: what are our chances to win against UK?

    Nate Silver's NCAA tournament model gives us a 10.5% chance of winning. That seems about right.



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