Dance Card is up! Best tourney predictor there is
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    Dance Card is up! Best tourney predictor there is

    NCAA Tournament "DanceCard" by Jay Coleman, Mike DuMond, and Allen Lynch

    We're at #25, VERY much in. Like I've been saying, if we go 10-8 in conference, we are in. You can look at past rankings and see how accurate it is. A team as high as us will not be left out. Never has been, never will be.



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    Re: Dance Card is up! Best tourney predictor there is

    Aww yeah buddy.



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    Re: Dance Card is up! Best tourney predictor there is

    Giggity!



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    Re: Dance Card is up! Best tourney predictor there is

    Wow. Fascinating stuff.

    That is great evidence of the incredibly weak bubble this year. The last two teams in (Northwestern and Arizona) would historically have a <1% chance of getting into the previous 65-team tournaments. But they are in this year.



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    Re: Dance Card is up! Best tourney predictor there is

    But wait, I thought we were on the outside looking in after we lost to OSU?



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    Re: Dance Card is up! Best tourney predictor there is

    Quote Originally Posted by gocubs2118 View Post
    But wait, I thought we were on the outside looking in after we lost to OSU?
    I'm sure if we lose tonight their will be a few idiots claiming we're out of the tourney, again.



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    Re: Dance Card is up! Best tourney predictor there is

    Quote Originally Posted by Bigman38 View Post
    I'm sure if we lose tonight their will be a few idiots claiming we're out of the tourney, again.
    And as I've said before, they are idiots. You can look at my posts in the recent weeks.

    Fact of the matter is, if we go 10-8 we will not fall far enough (and will probably barely even fall) to be left out. We're sitting great folks!



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    Re: Dance Card is up! Best tourney predictor there is

    Also like to see Iowa at 103 with a 0% chance of making it!


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    Re: Dance Card is up! Best tourney predictor there is

    Iowa is at 103. If they work hard they might break the top 100


    Nobody but HB knows for sure. You pretty much know nothing....like Knownothing would like to say.
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    Re: Dance Card is up! Best tourney predictor there is

    99.28%....i like our chances



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    Re: Dance Card is up! Best tourney predictor there is

    Quote Originally Posted by Ry4Cy View Post
    99.28%....i like our chances
    99.28% = 90% for big 12 school = 80% for Iowa State



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    Re: Dance Card is up! Best tourney predictor there is

    I just don't get how we are looking at a 9 or 10 seed right now. I understand that being 25th doesnt automatically mean we would be a 4 or 5 seed, but three times lower than that?



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    Re: Dance Card is up! Best tourney predictor there is

    Getting to a 6 seed in the NCAA tourney would be AWESOME



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    Re: Dance Card is up! Best tourney predictor there is

    Quote Originally Posted by Rhoadhoused View Post
    I just don't get how we are looking at a 9 or 10 seed right now. I understand that being 25th doesnt automatically mean we would be a 4 or 5 seed, but three times lower than that?
    because we didn't do that great pre season, and we only have 3 top50 wins. those don't translate well to the quant rankings, which drive a lot of bracket placement decisions.



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    Re: Dance Card is up! Best tourney predictor there is

    Quote Originally Posted by Ry4Cy View Post
    99.28%....i like our chances
    Actually its better than that. The 99.28% is from a normal previous year with a 65-team tourney.



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