Easy Bubble Solver. RPI+KenPom
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  1. #1
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    Easy Bubble Solver. RPI+KenPom

    Basketball Prospectus | How to End Bubble Speculation

    Explained there. Past year's success.

    2007: 62 of 65 (Old Dominion, Texas Tech, and Stanford instead of Air Force, Clemson, and Missouri State)
    2008: 62 of 65 (Villanova, South Alabama, and Kentucky instead of Ohio State, Virginia Tech, and Illinois State)
    2009: 63 of 65 (Maryland and Dayton instead of San Diego State and Florida)
    2010: 64 of 65 (Florida instead of Virginia Tech)
    2011: 66 of 68 (USC and VCU instead of Virginia Tech and Saint Mary's)


    Accuracy is 97% over the last 5 years.


    Here is the website that keeps track of this stuff.


    The Bracket Project Blog


    Currently this is where they stand as of the 6th.


    1 - Kentucky, Syracuse, Ohio State, Missouri
    2 - Michigan State, Baylor, Kansas, North Carolina
    3 - Georgetown, Duke, Florida, UNLV
    4 - Marquette, Florida State, St. Mary's (CA), Creighton
    5 - Wisconsin, Murray State, San Diego State, Indiana
    6 - Wichita State, Michigan, Louisville, Virginia
    7 - Gonzaga, Mississippi State, Southern Miss, Vanderbilt
    8 - Memphis, Temple, New Mexico, West Virginia
    9 - St. Louis, Iowa State, Alabama, Harvard
    10 - Connecticut, California, Illinois, Kansas State
    11 - Minnesota, BYU, Notre Dame, Texas
    12 - Middle Tennessee, Purdue, Long Beach State, Miami, Fla.
    13 - Arizona, Seton Hall, Northwestern, Xavier, Iona, Cleveland State
    14 - Akron, Oral Roberts, Belmont, Davidson
    15 - Drexel, Nevada, Bucknell, Weber State,
    16 - Texas-Arlington, NC-Asheville, LIU-Brooklyn, Norfolk State, Stony Brook, Mississippi Valley State


    So I think if we protect the home court against OU, Tech, and A&M and steal a road win, we are golden. Even better if we get a win over Mizzou or Baylor.


    At any rate, I want a 5, 6, 11 or 12 seed. Those seeds don't meet 1 or 2 seeds until the Sweet Sixteen.



  2. #2
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    Re: Easy Bubble Solver. RPI+KenPom

    Thanks for posting that. Very good info



  3. #3
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    Re: Easy Bubble Solver. RPI+KenPom

    If we're a 5 seed, this site will explode with panic that 5 seeds lose every year. The words "we are Iowa State" will be repeated until man of us want to throw up again and again. The level of sheer unreasonable panic that being a 5 seed will generate would be horrible.


    Since we are an elite team now, let's go get that One Cyclone Moment.
    Make this one for the ages!




    http://rememberingdoria.wordpress.com/

  4. #4
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    Re: Easy Bubble Solver. RPI+KenPom

    Quote Originally Posted by CycloneErik View Post
    If we're a 5 seed, this site will explode with panic that 5 seeds lose every year. The words "we are Iowa State" will be repeated until man of us want to throw up again and again. The level of sheer unreasonable panic that being a 5 seed will generate would be horrible.
    Well I think working our way up to a 5 will be really hard. In reality, I see us getting a 7-10 seed. If we sweep KSU and and protect the home court including Baylor, I could see us getting a 6 seed.

    But that is all speculating on what everyone does above us. Some 4-7 seeds could slip up big and fall making room for us.



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    Re: Easy Bubble Solver. RPI+KenPom

    Quote Originally Posted by megamanxzero35 View Post
    Well I think working our way up to a 5 will be really hard. In reality, I see us getting a 7-10 seed. If we sweep KSU and and protect the home court including Baylor, I could see us getting a 6 seed.

    But that is all speculating on what everyone does above us. Some 4-7 seeds could slip up big and fall making room for us.
    I'm not saying it can't happen. I love the contribution you made posting this link.

    I just think about our posting population, and it leads me to think that the only thing I don't want in the tournament is a 5 seed.


    Since we are an elite team now, let's go get that One Cyclone Moment.
    Make this one for the ages!




    http://rememberingdoria.wordpress.com/

  6. #6
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    Re: Easy Bubble Solver. RPI+KenPom

    Or you could just get a bunch of basketball junkies in a room and have them vote. Why do we always leave it up to a bunch of people that don't know basketball.


    Nobody but HB knows for sure. You pretty much know nothing....like Knownothing would like to say.
    Word

  7. #7
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    Re: Easy Bubble Solver. RPI+KenPom

    I'd settle for a 7 seed. I'd like to avoid the 8 - 9 game.



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    Re: Easy Bubble Solver. RPI+KenPom

    It would be outstanding to be the 9 or 8 seed in Missouri's region if they are a number 1. Kentucky, Syracuse, and North Carolina are all much much better than Missouri.



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    Re: Easy Bubble Solver. RPI+KenPom

    I'd be perfectly happy with an 11 seed. IMO that is much better than getting the 8 or 9. Or the 10.


    "Yeah, well, you know, that's just, like, your opinion man"

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    Re: Easy Bubble Solver. RPI+KenPom

    Quote Originally Posted by Clone5 View Post
    It would be outstanding to be the 9 or 8 seed in Missouri's region if they are a number 1. Kentucky, Syracuse, and North Carolina are all much much better than Missouri.
    That can't happen. A team can't play a fellow conference team before the Sweet 16.




    I'm on Twitter: @khaal53

  11. #11
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    Re: Easy Bubble Solver. RPI+KenPom

    Quote Originally Posted by khaal53 View Post
    That can't happen. A team can't play a fellow conference team before the Sweet 16.
    That's right. Thanks for the clarification. I'm not sure if I like that rule though.



  12. #12
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    Re: Easy Bubble Solver. RPI+KenPom

    Quote Originally Posted by CycloneErik View Post
    If we're a 5 seed, this site will explode with panic that 5 seeds lose every year. The words "we are Iowa State" will be repeated until man of us want to throw up again and again. The level of sheer unreasonable panic that being a 5 seed will generate would be horrible.
    Those guys will say that stuff no matter what seed we end up in, right now they are busy predicting us to lose every week.


    "But letís see if the Cyclones can give everyone a nice big ****burger to eat. Opportunity awaits." -Brent Blum

    "I am the one who knocks" -Walter White

  13. #13
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    Re:Easy Bubble Solver. RPI+KenPom

    Just want to get in. With the shooters and white, isu can beat anyone......unfortunately they can lose to teams they shouldn't.



  14. #14
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    Re: Easy Bubble Solver. RPI+KenPom

    Quote Originally Posted by CycloneErik View Post
    If we're a 5 seed, this site will explode with panic that 5 seeds lose every year. The words "we are Iowa State" will be repeated until man of us want to throw up again and again. The level of sheer unreasonable panic that being a 5 seed will generate would be horrible.
    Not going to be a problem.



  15. #15
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    Re: Easy Bubble Solver. RPI+KenPom

    Count me in as someone who likes the idea of an 11 seed, but not the path we would be taking for the rest of the season to get there.



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