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  1. #1
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    HuddleUp's Avatar
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    All alone in 4th place

    It's early, but who would have thought that possible three weeks ago? I've heard all of the "experts" say the B12 will only get four teams in the tournament this year. Might as well be us in that group.

    I think 8 more wins gets us in for sure. Here they are:

    @TT
    @Tex
    KSU
    @OU
    A&M
    OU
    TT
    B12 first or second round win

    We could have others, but these look like the most realistic chances. That gives us 21 wins and most likely 4th or 5th place in the B12.



  2. #2
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    Re: All alone in 4th place

    Quote Originally Posted by HuddleUp View Post
    It's early, but who would have thought that possible three weeks ago? I've heard all of the "experts" say the B12 will only get four teams in the tournament this year. Might as well be us in that group.

    I think 8 more wins gets us in for sure. Here they are:

    @TT
    @Tex
    KSU
    @OU
    A&M
    OU
    TT
    B12 first or second round win

    We could have others, but these look like the most realistic chances. That gives us 21 wins and most likely 4th or 5th place in the B12.
    Based on current snapshot, 8 wins probably does it, but I disagree a smidgeon on those particular 8.

    (a) One W almost has to be KU or BU honestly, winning both at home is preferable, but I'd take a split if either we sweep UT or split with Missouri.

    (b) I have a hunch we lose at OU just a gut feeling. It wouldn't be the worst road loss we could have (Tech & OSU are more likely to bog-down the resume). I would exchange that type of loss for two-thirds of (a)

    (c) Don't rely on Big 12 tournament wins as a difference-maker. I've seen that mentioned several times in "what will it take to make the tournament?" threads, and I won't elaborate in-depth here. To summarize, conference tourney wins don't count as "extra credit." It obviously doesn't "hurt" to win; importance of those games is circumstantial.



  3. #3
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    Re: All alone in 4th place

    My Prediction: (with percent chance we win)

    @TTech W 80%
    @Texas W 50%
    Kansas W 35%
    Kansas State W 50%
    @OU W 70%
    @OSU L 50%
    Texas A&M W 80%
    @Baylor L 25%
    OU W 85%
    TTech W 95%
    @Kstate L 50%
    @Missouri L 40%
    Baylor L 40%

    That puts us at 11-7 in conference and 21-10 overall I believe. We would definitely be in that dance.

    Obviously the KU game is a big upset, but I believe that this team can do it at Hilton. It's the biggest game of the year for the crowd, it's 1:00 PM on a Saturday, everyone will be extremely excited, especially if we get these next two wins.

    I could easily see us losing to KU as well, but I could also see us beating Baylor at home or sneaking a win either @Mizzou, @Kstate, @OSU, or vs Baylor but those would be tough wins.

    Statistically I think those percentages add up to 7.5 wins which is very close to my prediction. The KU win is probably a little bold compared to our % chance.


    Last edited by Rhoadhoused; 01-19-2012 at 12:35 AM.

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    Re: All alone in 4th place

    Feels pretty good to be where we are, overall. After Saturday, we *should* be 4-2 in conference. It's been a long time since we've been able to say anything remotely close to that.



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    Re: All alone in 4th place

    If we're 5-2 when KU comes to town, there's a chance that we're aiming at 2nd, or (crazy thought) a tie for 1st!

    That may or may not be a little out there, but we have a chance to really so something fantastic this year.


    Since we are an elite team now, let's go get that One Cyclone Moment.
    Make this one for the ages!




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