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  1. #1
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    He's on Fire! or is he?

    If a player took another three-pointer after making one, their success rate was 6 percent lower than if they took it after having missed one. In other words, you were more likely to make a three pointer if you'd missed on the previous one. In contrast, there was little difference in the success rates of ensuing two-point shots.
    NBA players wrong about "hot hands" from three-point land

    Reinforcement learning in professional basketball players : Nature Communications : Nature Publishing Group


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    Re: He's on Fire! or is he?

    Study is flawed.

    Everybody knows it takes three shots in a row to get on fire.



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    Re: He's on Fire! or is he?

    [ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X7dFMbubxr4&feature=related]NBA JAM ON FIRE - YouTube[/ame]



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    Re: He's on Fire! or is he?

    People have done the same study, reaching the same conclusions, on free-throws as well. There is no such thing as having a "hot hand."


    You can spend a lot of time and money picking out the perfect floral bouquet for your date ... but you're probably better off checking if you have bad breath and taking the porn out of the glove compartment.

    The moral: you gain more by not being stupid, than you do by being smart. Smart gets neutralized by other smart people. Stupid does not.

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    Re: He's on Fire! or is he?

    The problem with the study is that there baseline for a player being "on fire" is making one three point shot.


    "But you know that old thing, live fast, die young? Not my way. Live fast, sure, live too bloody fast sometimes, but die young? Die old. That's the way- not orthodox, I don't live by "the rules" you know." - David Brent

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    Re: He's on Fire! or is he?

    Quote Originally Posted by FDWxMan View Post
    Study is flawed.Everybody knows it takes three shots in a row to get on fire.
    And 3 alley-oops in a row for the team to be on fire...



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