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  1. #1
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    Some Football Stats

    Not sure if many, or any, of you have seen my site at all or what I'm attempting to do with football stats, but I thought I'd share.

    I'm tracking every Big 12 team and the basic premise is to break everything down offensively and defensively to a per drive (or possession) basis. Also, the thought process is to make the playing field equal for stats by using ratios instead of just straight numbers. Figuring numbers like "points/drive", "% of Drives w/ a TD", "% of Drives w/ a TO", etc...

    Another area I'm looking at is total yards gained/allowed. Instead of just looking at the raw number of say 500 yards gained in a game, I'm comparing that number to the field poosition. If a team generates a few turnovers giving the offense short fields repeatedly the totaly number of yards to be gained is lower, thus spawned the "Average % of Potential Yards Gained / Drive" and "Total % of Potential Yards Gained". In some of the generated reports there is also a column for "Average Potential Yards/Drive" which is essentiall the average starting field position.

    There's a lot of avenues to take this and I'm still working on a few more angles. The data isn't overly telling so early in the season with the varying difficulties of non-conference schedules, but I think some trends are noticeable and this should be even more useful as we progress through the conference season.

    Anyway, check it out if you'd like and I'd like to hear any comments or questions you may have.

    www.encyclonepedia.com




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    Re: Some Football Stats

    I wonder where the "standards" will fall come the end of the season. Hazard a guess?

    Meaning, what will be the "Mendoza line" for good teams for percentage of potential yards gained, percentage of drives with a score, etc.



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    Re: Some Football Stats

    Interesting data. You should consider a conference only analysis at the end of the season since that would eliminate the strength of schedule difference.



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    Re: Some Football Stats

    Quote Originally Posted by cy1010 View Post
    I wonder where the "standards" will fall come the end of the season. Hazard a guess?

    Meaning, what will be the "Mendoza line" for good teams for percentage of potential yards gained, percentage of drives with a score, etc.
    Good question. At this point I really have no idea, but if I were to guess based by eyeballing the current average and dropping it a bit...

    I'd say scoring a TD on 35% of drives and gaining about 60% of potential yards could work as your "Mendoza line".

    Quote Originally Posted by mt85 View Post
    Interesting data. You should consider a conference only analysis at the end of the season since that would eliminate the strength of schedule difference.
    Yeah, that's in the plans. Will be really interesting at the end with the round-robin schedule.




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    Re: Some Football Stats

    Quote Originally Posted by mt85 View Post
    Interesting data. You should consider a conference only analysis at the end of the season since that would eliminate the strength of schedule difference.
    This is a slight tangent, but it illustrates why I dislike the SOS issue. Even when you play a round-robin conference schedule the SOS is never the same. Some teams get the other teams on the road, while some will play at home. Also, injuries affect how good a team is on any given gameday. Like I said, it's a tangent...



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    Re: Some Football Stats

    KHaal, one thing to consider on potential yards is penalties (especially since it's been a problem this year). I could see ISU running a 70 yard drive that actually gains 85 - 90 yards when some are counted twice for penalties. Maybe your data already washes that out.


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    Re: Some Football Stats

    Quote Originally Posted by besserheimerphat View Post
    KHaal, one thing to consider on potential yards is penalties (especially since it's been a problem this year). I could see ISU running a 70 yard drive that actually gains 85 - 90 yards when some are counted twice for penalties. Maybe your data already washes that out.
    Its a bit difficult to explain, but as of right now penalty yards aren't really accounted for on a given drive.

    Depending on the required effort, that may have given me an idea though!

    Thanks for the comments.




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