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    UConn Defense against ISU Offense Prediction...

    Okay - were only 2 days and 12 hours away from kickoff....i thought i would start a thread that only looks at the matchup....

    First off - i'm almost too confident about this game which makes me wonder if the kids are too? I mean on paper this contest should not be close, if you can believe that. But, thats the very essence of a watchout game!!!!

    ISU Offense versus UConn Defense
    RUSHING
    The numbers say this is going to be very close. However, i'm reading into this a bit further to suggest its not as close as it appears. ISU's rushing offense is ranked 49th in the nation. The two teams that uconn has faced are 85th and 109th respectively. Thus, our rushing attack is far more successful then either of the teams that Uconn has faced. Much of that has to be our Oline and its shear size. Oconns front is very good, however, they are thin, if our big guys lean on them all day our rushing attack will get more successful as the day goes along just as it did against Iowa. Secondly in regards to the rushing attack - Jantz makes guys run, which is a killer for a DL...IMO we will wear their front down and have big success in the second half. The numbers are misleading as Fordham is the bearer of their boastful numbers. Its fordham that ran the ball 30 times for 20 yards, you figure out the avg (.7 per attempt). Again Vandy another lowly ranked rushing opponent ran the ball 32 times for 118 yards which is better at 3.7 yards per carry. If ISU runs the ball as they did against Iowa, 52 times for 194, Uconn will be gased.

    PASSING
    Again Uconns defense is highly ranked and we will wait to see if rightfully so....they faced an offense that ranks 84 and 101 in passing, their numbers should be good. Iowa States passing attack is ranked 54th and that would be higher but it took about 3 quarters for Jantz to get his feet under him and adjust to the speed. However, against Iowa he made some truly special throws. Several back shoulder throws which by the way are a welcome sight for a cyclone fan! the 3rd and 20 throw to Money was pinpoint accuracy...you could see the disgust on Praters reaction to that throw, it was simply perfect. If Jantz continues on this pace, he will only continue to get better as the lil things in the offense become second nature. Uconn has 1 excellent corner, but the rest of the defensive backfield are no better then Iowa's and we just lit them up. I think this is an area that is a huge advantage for ISU.

    Looking at these facets of the ISU Offense against the UConn Defense on paper, this should be a blowout. Everyones talking about the short week and how it benefits UCONN...i think just the opposite. UCONN has a lot more to prepare for simply because of the pace that our offense is playing at....that pace is dictating repeat coverages and offering indicators to how or what their coverages will be making it easier to take advantage. I am not a firm believer that this defense will be the best we've seen this year. If Iowa or even UNI had played Fordham and Vandy their defense would be ranked in the top 20 of every aspect as well. I think their stud dline will get worn down and our success will only get better as the game goes along. We need to sustain drives and move the ball down the field methodically and this game will not be close. I think Jantz as a runner/scrambler is huge...those DL will be chasing - thus tired. Don't be surprised if KO is pulled at half. This offense is beginning to click and i'm buying into it. The passing game is light years ahead of where its been. The timing, the reads are spot on. I think Uconns linebacker core is not nearly as good as Iowas and will be exposed to the quick slants and tight end packages that will ultimately open up huge running lanes for SJ and Woody not to mention White. I think UConn is susceptible to our 3,4,5 wr sets and we will spread them out and hand the ball off away from Reyes.

    And for all these reasons is exactly why this worries me...this matchup looks too good on paper. but i'm sticking with the facts....

    ISU Offense vs UConn Defense - HUGE Advantage ISU.


    Last edited by KMAC_ATTACK; 09-14-2011 at 08:42 AM.

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    Re: UConn Defense against ISU Offense Prediction...

    Two wins against programs within our state and you are proclaiming us with a huge advantage already? UCONN's defense is strong, I think giving us a huge advantage is overlooking a team that is very strong on that side of the ball.

    UCONN is at worst a 4.5 point favorite. That isn't because of their offense. Their defense is good. Their offense is where the problems lie. Not to mention this is our first road test. Crowd noise, hostile environment.

    Don't get me wrong, I'm hopeful and think we can win this thing. But to think we have a huge advantage in any area involves wearing some pretty thick goggles.



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    Re: UConn Defense against ISU Offense Prediction...

    It's hard for me to put too much emphasis on stats this early, as it is hard to tell the quality of the units we and they have faced.

    My impression, though, is that we will have a larger advantage with our defense against their offense. They seem one dimensional with the running game, and with our defensive backfield, I think we can stack the box a bit and force them to pass to beat us, and I really like our odds there.



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    Re: UConn Defense against ISU Offense Prediction...

    If the O Line played like they did Saturday we can score points on anyone, the pass protection was great and the few times it did break down Steele slipped away from the D and made a positive play out of it. The only thing that is concerning to me is how well Steele will be able to scramble against a supposedly faster D Line than Iowa's.

    The running game was really good and the passing game looked very sharp, I agree that on paper our offense is a lot better than their defense. But sometimes that all gets thrown out the window in your first away game of the season.



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    Re: UConn Defense against ISU Offense Prediction...

    Our receivers need to have another big game. Steele is going to get blitzed relentlessly (especially if KO isn't in) so it will be vital for them to get open quickly.



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    Re: UConn Defense against ISU Offense Prediction...

    Quote Originally Posted by Cyclonepride View Post
    It's hard for me to put too much emphasis on stats this early, as it is hard to tell the quality of the units we and they have faced.

    My impression, though, is that we will have a larger advantage with our defense against their offense. They seem one dimensional with the running game, and with our defensive backfield, I think we can stack the box a bit and force them to pass to beat us, and I really like our odds there.
    I agree that our defense will need to kill the run. Their QBs have struggled.

    Don't use stats too much at this time. The other teams stats might stink offensively because they went up against a good defense that shut them down. Don't get too confident, we are on the road. Even though CPR has improved the road situation, compared to previous coaches, we still have not lit it up on the road. Although games on odd days sometimes helps the visitor a little since they start their routine when they hit the plane.



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    Re: UConn Defense against ISU Offense Prediction...

    What worries me most is our penchant to TO the ball and we are playing a team who is able to get points from TO's by getting pressure on the QB.



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    Re: UConn Defense against ISU Offense Prediction...

    Quote Originally Posted by Clone5 View Post
    Our receivers need to have another big game. Steele is going to get blitzed relentlessly (especially if KO isn't in) so it will be vital for them to get open quickly.
    If they do blitz often, that plays right into the hands of ISU. Lots of bubble screens and quick slants. Guys like Horne, Lenz, and West are obviously very capable of making guys miss. As long as ISU keeps taking what they're given all season, good things could be ahead.



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    Re: UConn Defense against ISU Offense Prediction...

    I just have a hard time thinking that UConn has that much better of defense than Iowa. Maybe they do, but I doubt it's much better. Frankly, the real conversation at this point has to be will UConn score on OUR defense. If you look at the vandy game where they had zero offensvie TD's that awnser is probably no.



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    Re: UConn Defense against ISU Offense Prediction...

    Quote Originally Posted by bosco View Post
    What worries me most is our penchant to TO the ball and we are playing a team who is able to get points from TO's by getting pressure on the QB.
    We are living very dangerously with turnovers. If we turn it over 3-4 times in this game like we have been doing look out. We've GOT to keep ahold of the ball. We may all still be on cloud nine but this team in not talented enough to keep that up...especially on the road.



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    Re: UConn Defense against ISU Offense Prediction...

    Quote Originally Posted by KMAC_ATTACK View Post
    Uconn has 1 excellent corner, but the rest of the defensive backfield are no better then Iowa's and we just lit them up.
    He will be on Money

    Great opportunity to produce...

    Let's go CYCLONES!!!!!!!!


    This is how we FINISH STRONG!!!

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    Re: UConn Defense against ISU Offense Prediction...

    Quote Originally Posted by Cyclonepride View Post
    It's hard for me to put too much emphasis on stats this early, as it is hard to tell the quality of the units we and they have faced.

    My impression, though, is that we will have a larger advantage with our defense against their offense. They seem one dimensional with the running game, and with our defensive backfield, I think we can stack the box a bit and force them to pass to beat us, and I really like our odds there.
    This. And with their stout defense, I wouldn't be surprised if neither of the offenses score more than 10 points. Of course, there could be defensive/special teams scores.....



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    Re: UConn Defense against ISU Offense Prediction...

    Quote Originally Posted by mustangcy View Post
    I just have a hard time thinking that UConn has that much better of defense than Iowa. Maybe they do, but I doubt it's much better. Frankly, the real conversation at this point has to be will UConn score on OUR defense. If you look at the vandy game where they had zero offensvie TD's that awnser is probably no.
    They are on a streak of either 3 or 4 games where they haven't scored a TD on a BCS team. At this point, that's going to really start become a mental thing for the players. Hopefully, that streak continues through Friday!



  14. #14
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    Re: UConn Defense against ISU Offense Prediction...

    Dont get cocky, this has trap written all over it. I'm going to panic like I did in the realignment thread.



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    Re: UConn Defense against ISU Offense Prediction...

    I'll just say friday can't get here soon enough. It's amazing how the anticipation for me between games in bigger than the off season.



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