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  1. #1
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    Las Vegas buys into the hype

    In the Capt Kirk era, Las Vegas has favored Iowa 10 of 13 games by an average of 10 points, but yet Kirkie has a losing record against ISU.

    I can see the media thinking Iowa will be great every year (ala Buckeye Kirk H. this year) but usually the money guys are little closer to reality.


    Clone to the Bone with the up and coming IOWA STATE.

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    Re: Las Vegas buys into the hype

    They aren't necessarily picking the team they think will win. They're trying to get the betting even on both sides. They know Iowa is going to have a lot more money thrown it's way unless we have a REALLY good team, so they have to try and make the spread big enough to get Iowa fans to bet Iowa State to cover.



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    Re: Las Vegas buys into the hype

    Quote Originally Posted by IcSyU View Post
    They aren't necessarily picking the team they think will win. They're trying to get the betting even on both sides. They know Iowa is going to have a lot more money thrown it's way unless we have a REALLY good team, so they have to try and make the spread big enough to get Iowa fans to bet Iowa State to cover.
    True. Betting lines aren't a game predictor. When a talking head says "Vegas thinks so-and-so is going to win." I want to punch them.



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    Re: Las Vegas buys into the hype

    I understand the betting philosophy, but my guess is that Vegas has not made much money on Iowa State in the last 15 years.

    I have always been amazed how close Vegas is to predicting the actual spread in final scores. I guess my point is that they have not been able to do that with the Iowa-Iowa State series.


    Clone to the Bone with the up and coming IOWA STATE.

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    Re: Las Vegas buys into the hype

    Quote Originally Posted by CTTB78 View Post
    I understand the betting philosophy, but my guess is that Vegas has not made much money on Iowa State in the last 15 years.

    I have always been amazed how close Vegas is to predicting the actual spread in final scores. I guess my point is that they have not been able to do that with the Iowa-Iowa State series.
    Quote Originally Posted by Cydkar View Post
    True. Betting lines aren't a game predictor. When a talking head says "Vegas thinks so-and-so is going to win." I want to punch them.


    Don't confuse hope for a plan.

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    Re: Las Vegas buys into the hype

    Iowa is the definition of a "Public Team".

    I'm sure Vegas has done just fine on the game over the last decade.



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    Re: Las Vegas buys into the hype

    I know that betting is what moves the line, but I thought that it was more than fair to ISU this year whereas many times in the past, I think that iowa was favored by too much. Money was definitely coming in on ISU last week.



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