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    Weather Thread 1/30-2/2: Possible Major Storm

    Some of the models, mainly the Canadian, Ukmet and on and off the Euro have been showing a possible significant storm for this time frame. The GFS finally has at least partially hopped on board tonight.

    What looks likely:
    1.Warm Air Advection out ahead of the system tossing light 1-3 inch snowfalls Sunday night into Monday morning.

    Beyond that 3 reasonable scenarios present themselves:

    1. North stream sheared and fast, south stream slow, no phase whatsoever. Least likely scenario, all models have abandoned this solution and for awhile now.
    2. Partial phase - interaction pulls storm north but it moves in a NE pattern, light snows in central Iowa Monday Night-Tuesday moderate in SE Iowa.OK, MO,IL, IN and OH get hit hard. This solution strikes me as most likely. Its just kinda hard to get a good complete phase, when your dealing with placement issues and you also have to worry about timing.
    3. Complete Phase of storms- several models have shown this solution and have put out huge amounts. Low bombs out causing it to take more of a NNE path. Huge snow totals somewhere, likely some part of Iowa.


    Last edited by Iastfan112; 01-28-2011 at 01:32 AM.

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    Re: Weather Thread 1/30-2/2: Possible Major Storm

    In English please...


    There was one?

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    Re: Weather Thread 1/30-2/2: Possible Major Storm

    Quote Originally Posted by josh777 View Post
    In English please...
    It might snow a lot, it might not.



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    Re: Weather Thread 1/30-2/2: Possible Major Storm

    Quote Originally Posted by Cyclonepride View Post
    It might snow a lot, it might not.
    so, basically, it's winter?


    Don't confuse hope for a plan.

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    Re: Weather Thread 1/30-2/2: Possible Major Storm

    Quote Originally Posted by Iastfan112 View Post
    Some of the models, mainly the Canadian, Ukmet and on and off the Euro have been showing a possible significant storm for this time frame. The GFS finally has at least partially hopped on board tonight.

    What looks likely:
    1.Warm Air Advection out ahead of the system tossing light 1-3 inch snowfalls Sunday night into Monday morning.

    Beyond that 3 reasonable scenarios present themselves:

    1. North stream sheared and fast, south stream slow, no phase whatsoever. Least likely scenario, all models have abandoned this solution and for awhile now.
    2. Partial phase - interaction pulls storm north but it moves in a NE pattern, light snows in central Iowa Monday Night-Tuesday moderate in SE Iowa.OK, MO,IL, IN and OH get hit hard. This solution strikes me as most likely. Its just kinda hard to get a good complete phase, when your dealing with placement issues and you also have to worry about timing.
    3. Complete Phase of storms- several models have shown this solution and have put out huge amounts. Low bombs out causing it to take more of a NNE path. Huge snow totals somewhere, likely some part of Iowa.
    It's about time a major storm is in the works, i'm getting awfully sick of these weak clipper like systems.



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    Re: Weather Thread 1/30-2/2: Possible Major Storm

    Get new gas for the snow blower.


    Let my Fred's Posse Ride: Georges, Naz, Hogue, Bryce, Nader, Monte, Matt, and McKay.

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    Re: Weather Thread 1/30-2/2: Possible Major Storm

    If its not more than 10" I don't want to hear about it.



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    Re: Weather Thread 1/30-2/2: Possible Major Storm

    Quote Originally Posted by VTXCyRyD View Post
    If its not more than 10" I don't want to hear about it.

    That's what she said.



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    Re: Weather Thread 1/30-2/2: Possible Major Storm

    Quote Originally Posted by VTXCyRyD View Post
    If its not more than 10" I don't want to hear about it.

    Exactly. I am tired of the doom is coming threads regarding weather. Let Mother Nature do her thing and leave her the hell alone.



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    Re: Weather Thread 1/30-2/2: Possible Major Storm

    Quote Originally Posted by jtdoyle1 View Post
    That's what she said.
    Thanks for a good laugh.



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    Re: Weather Thread 1/30-2/2: Possible Major Storm

    Quote Originally Posted by ISU4ME View Post
    Exactly. I am tired of the doom is coming threads regarding weather. Let Mother Nature do her thing and leave her the hell alone.
    I have Brr ride next Saturday in Perry. I would like to know which tires I need to put on my bike. Or if I'm just going to be drinking all day........


    Lifetime Achievement- In on page 1 of a THujone MS Paint thread.


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    Re: Weather Thread 1/30-2/2: Possible Major Storm

    I heard it's going to miss DES Moines area



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    Re: Weather Thread 1/30-2/2: Possible Major Storm

    Quote Originally Posted by ISU4ME View Post
    Exactly. I am tired of the doom is coming threads regarding weather. Let Mother Nature do her thing and leave her the hell alone.
    I didn't see doom and gloom. I saw three possible outcomes to this storm.

    ISU has a strong meteorology school. There are lots of weather enthusiasts that visit this site. They like to discuss weather.

    Currently on the front page there are discussions about DQ, a TV show that I have never seen, 2 cycle oil, Ron Santo and genetically altered crops.

    Why is a discussion about weather such a bad thing.



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    Re: Weather Thread 1/30-2/2: Possible Major Storm

    Quote Originally Posted by linkshero View Post
    I have Brr ride next Saturday in Perry. I would like to know which tires I need to put on my bike. Or if I'm just going to be drinking all day........
    This choice is easy



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    Re: Weather Thread 1/30-2/2: Possible Major Storm

    Quote Originally Posted by c.y.c.l.o.n.e.s View Post
    I didn't see doom and gloom. I saw three possible outcomes to this storm.

    ISU has a strong meteorology school. There are lots of weather enthusiasts that visit this site. They like to discuss weather.

    Currently on the front page there are discussions about DQ, a TV show that I have never seen, 2 cycle oil, Ron Santo and genetically altered crops.

    Why is a discussion about weather such a bad thing.
    Good point, but like they say everybody talks about the weather, but nobody does a thing about it.



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