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  1. #1
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    Chances of being 14-2 going into KU game?

    I'd say 75% odds we can be 14-2 going into KU game. Tonight is a win against Chicago State. Virginia should be close. Depends on how we shoot on the road. Northern Illinios is a win. And Neb could be a win, again depending on how we shoot on the road.

    At 14-2... Tourney talk starts to become very real.



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    Re: Chances of being 14-2 going into KU game?

    Its possible. I like our chances, but wont be upset if it doesn't happen.


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    Re: Chances of being 14-2 going into KU game?

    At 14-2, we look pretty good.


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    Re: Chances of being 14-2 going into KU game?

    Quote Originally Posted by CloneJob View Post
    I'd say 75% odds we can be 14-2 going into KU game. Tonight is a win against Chicago State. Virginia should be close. Depends on how we shoot on the road. Northern Illinios is a win. And Neb could be a win, again depending on how we shoot on the road.

    At 14-2... Tourney talk starts to become very real.

    IMO, we will lose at least 12 games in conference play. NIT maybe but I doubt it.



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    Re: Chances of being 14-2 going into KU game?

    I'd say 10%. Both of those road game will be tough for us to win.



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    Re: Chances of being 14-2 going into KU game?

    Odds of being 14-2? I'd say 25%. That means we would have to win 2 games on the road against decent teams.
    I see us losing at least one of those games, possibly both.


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    Re: Chances of being 14-2 going into KU game?

    I think that 13-3 is much more likely.



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    Re: Chances of being 14-2 going into KU game?

    40 percent to be 14 - 2. There is a 60 percent chance we beat Virginia and 80 percent chance to beat Nebraska, Chi State and N Illinois are wins.



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    Re: Chances of being 14-2 going into KU game?

    I'd say there's about a 10% chance we start 14-2, and about a 1% chance we have to worry about the NCAA tournament. We're going to get abused in a bad way inside once we started playing real basketball teams.



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    Re: Chances of being 14-2 going into KU game?

    Virginia had a close one this weekend against a team I didn't think was good, but didn't see it and don't even know that they arent good - only going by name. Made me feel better about our chances though.


    Nothing to see here mods. Keep moving.

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    Re: Chances of being 14-2 going into KU game?

    14-2 = 25%
    13-3 = 40%
    12-4 = 34%
    11-5 or less = 1%

    I think we will win one of those 2 road games. But, I think our chances of losing both of those road games are greater than winning both of them.


    When Prepared, Fear No One.

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    Re: Chances of being 14-2 going into KU game?

    99% chance we beat Chicago St
    50% chance we win at virginia
    95% chance we beat Northern Illinois
    50% chance we win at Nebraska

    ______23.5125% chance of winning all four



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    Re: Chances of being 14-2 going into KU game?

    We are underdogs in both the UVa and NU games, so each of those games have less that 50% of us winning. kenpom gives us a 48% chance in the UVa game and a 32% chance in the NU game. By my (probably quite incorrect) math, that comes out to 20% chance to win both of them, which sounds about right to me.



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    Re: Chances of being 14-2 going into KU game?

    I think 13-3 is probably the most likely and I don't think that'd be anything to scoff at. Especially when you think that up until this point we've beaten every team that I'd say we SHOULD have beat and gone 2-2 in games that could be considered even. At 13-3 even with a loss to VA or Nebby we still wouldn't have a bad loss in IMO. Tourney talk will still probably need to hold off until we got a signature win but wouldnt be unthinkable. Now that there are a few lower tier tourneys I think we'd have a shot with 18 wins. People tend to bash the cbi and collegeinsider tourneys but I'd love to see this staff get a few extra weeks of practice and get our young guys some tournament atmopshere experience, I'll be happy win ANY post season tourney.



  15. #15
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    Re: Chances of being 14-2 going into KU game?

    Quote Originally Posted by bawbie View Post
    We are underdogs in both the UVa and NU games, so each of those games have less that 50% of us winning. kenpom gives us a 48% chance in the UVa game and a 32% chance in the NU game. By my (probably quite incorrect) math, that comes out to 20% chance to win both of them, which sounds about right to me.
    15%


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