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  1. #1
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    My 2010 predictions vs. Reality

    Iím ready to put 2010 ISU football season to bed. I thought it would be interesting to look at my preseason prediction (posted on CF in August/early September) compared to what actually happened.

    I had the overall & conference record correct. The rest was Ö as Orr might say, "ooh-wee, coach." I couldn't have been any more off on the Utah game if I had tried.

    I was amused about some minor accuracy about detail, if not actual scores & W/Lís. Youíll spot some of those.

    Funny how my Texas guess was almost exactly the polar opposite of what happened in almost every way.

    Anyway, here it is:

    Northern Illinois, W, 34-24.
    Up 10-0 early and 24-10 in 3rd, but game gets a little too tight.

    @Iowa, L, 27-10
    Iowa up 10-0, then it's 10-7 in the 2nd (ISU finally finds the end zone!) and 17-7 at the half. Then ... ****!

    v. Kansas State, W, 27-24
    ISU gets revenge/karma reversal from '09: KSU misses game-tying FG with 32 seconds left.

    Northern Iowa, W, 37-13
    Tight for 20 minutes, then a slow pullaway. 20-6 at the half, each team w/ meaningless TDs in the fourth (includes ISU's first missed extra point of the season but thankfully won't matter)

    Texas Tech, L, 35-21
    Shoulda-Coulda (1). Surprisingly low-scoring first half, becomes a shootout in the second. Chance to tie it at 28 in the red zone with less than 5 minutes left, but a turnover in the red zone kills the drive. Tech breaks a big one for the clinching TD.

    Utah, L, 31-27
    Shoulda-Coulda (2). ISU falls behind 17-0 in the first quarter, and things look bleak. But it's 17-10 at the half after the defense wakes up and gets 2 bend-but-don't-break turnovers. ISU is up 27-24 in the fourth. Second straight crushing defeat. Bowl hopes are on thin ice.

    @Oklahoma, L, 38-13
    Yeah, whatever. Turns out to be ISU's weakest effort of the season, as if OU needed it.

    @Texas, L, 35-14
    Competitive in early stages, but ends up a convincing loss to eventual Big 12 champion, which is coming off a stumble at Nebraska the week before (UT will win the Red River game, winning the South on tiebreaker).

    Kansas, W, 34-27
    Score will be closer than the game itself, but ISU fans will be relieved with a win after a month-long dry spell.

    Nebraska, L, 28-18
    By quarter: ISU 3, NU 0; NU 14, ISU 3; NU 21, ISU 10. ISU puts together a fantastic, methodical fourth-quarter drive for a touchdown, converts the 2-point conversion to draw within 3, 21-18. Teams trade punts, then ... well, whatever gut-wrenching conclusion you want to create, it happens.

    @Colorado, W, 28-21
    ISU's Boulder futility ends, just in time for the Buffs to split for the Pac-12 (we think) (and probably with a new head coach). Game will be sort of the opposite of the '08 collapse.

    Missouri, L, 37-21
    With a slim shot at the North title still within reach ("slim" because it requires Nebraska to lose its final two games), the Tigers will take advantage, crushing ISU's final shot at the postseason. Final score will be misleading ó ISU plays perhaps its best overall game in six weeks, but Missouri will put just enough insurance points on the board in the second half. (NU still wins out to secure the division title).

    5-7 (3-5), tied for third with KSU (we win tiebreaker but KSU lands a bowl game, though, with 6-6 overall record)


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    Re: My 2010 predictions vs. Reality

    You were sure wrong on that Texas game prediction.



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    Re: My 2010 predictions vs. Reality

    Gut wrenching conclusion to the Nebraska game........correct!



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    Re: My 2010 predictions vs. Reality

    Quote Originally Posted by cyclones500 View Post
    I’m ready to put 2010 ISU football season to bed. I thought it would be interesting to look at my preseason prediction (posted on CF in August/early September) compared to what actually happened.

    I had the overall & conference record correct. The rest was … as Orr might say, "ooh-wee, coach." I couldn't have been any more off on the Utah game if I had tried.

    I was amused about some minor accuracy about detail, if not actual scores & W/L’s. You’ll spot some of those.

    Funny how my Texas guess was almost exactly the polar opposite of what happened in almost every way.

    Anyway, here it is:

    Northern Illinois, W, 34-24.
    Up 10-0 early and 24-10 in 3rd, but game gets a little too tight.

    @Iowa, L, 27-10
    Iowa up 10-0, then it's 10-7 in the 2nd (ISU finally finds the end zone!) and 17-7 at the half. Then ... ****!

    v. Kansas State, W, 27-24
    ISU gets revenge/karma reversal from '09: KSU misses game-tying FG with 32 seconds left.

    Northern Iowa, W, 37-13
    Tight for 20 minutes, then a slow pullaway. 20-6 at the half, each team w/ meaningless TDs in the fourth (includes ISU's first missed extra point of the season but thankfully won't matter)

    Texas Tech, L, 35-21
    Shoulda-Coulda (1). Surprisingly low-scoring first half, becomes a shootout in the second. Chance to tie it at 28 in the red zone with less than 5 minutes left, but a turnover in the red zone kills the drive. Tech breaks a big one for the clinching TD.

    Utah, L, 31-27
    Shoulda-Coulda (2). ISU falls behind 17-0 in the first quarter, and things look bleak. But it's 17-10 at the half after the defense wakes up and gets 2 bend-but-don't-break turnovers. ISU is up 27-24 in the fourth. Second straight crushing defeat. Bowl hopes are on thin ice.

    @Oklahoma, L, 38-13
    Yeah, whatever. Turns out to be ISU's weakest effort of the season, as if OU needed it.

    @Texas, L, 35-14
    Competitive in early stages, but ends up a convincing loss to eventual Big 12 champion, which is coming off a stumble at Nebraska the week before (UT will win the Red River game, winning the South on tiebreaker).

    Kansas, W, 34-27
    Score will be closer than the game itself, but ISU fans will be relieved with a win after a month-long dry spell.

    Nebraska, L, 28-18
    By quarter: ISU 3, NU 0; NU 14, ISU 3; NU 21, ISU 10. ISU puts together a fantastic, methodical fourth-quarter drive for a touchdown, converts the 2-point conversion to draw within 3, 21-18. Teams trade punts, then ... well, whatever gut-wrenching conclusion you want to create, it happens.

    @Colorado, W, 28-21
    ISU's Boulder futility ends, just in time for the Buffs to split for the Pac-12 (we think) (and probably with a new head coach). Game will be sort of the opposite of the '08 collapse.

    Missouri, L, 37-21
    With a slim shot at the North title still within reach ("slim" because it requires Nebraska to lose its final two games), the Tigers will take advantage, crushing ISU's final shot at the postseason. Final score will be misleading — ISU plays perhaps its best overall game in six weeks, but Missouri will put just enough insurance points on the board in the second half. (NU still wins out to secure the division title).

    5-7 (3-5), tied for third with KSU (we win tiebreaker but KSU lands a bowl game, though, with 6-6 overall record)
    So to summarize:

    Northern Illinois-Correct on the win-Off a lot on the score
    Iowa-Correct on the loss-Pretty close on the score
    Kansas State-Wrong on the win-
    Pretty close on the score
    UNI-Correct on the win-Off a lot on the score
    TT-Wrong on the loss-
    Off a lot on the score
    Utah-Correct on the loss-Off a lot on the score
    OU-
    Correct on the loss-Off a lot on the score
    Texas-Wrong on the loss-Off a lot on the score
    KU-Correct on the win-Off a lot on the score
    NU-
    Correct on the loss-Pretty close on the score
    Co-Wrong on the win-Off a lot on the score
    MU-Correct on the loss-Off a lot on the score

    Right on 11 predictions
    Wrong on 13 predictions



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