Low-end W-L expectation
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    Low-end W-L expectation

    Not long ago, in my "ISU picked to finish last in the Big 12" thread (I think it was "Prepare to be Humbled"), I got some flak when I posted that the MBB team could realistically finish around .500.

    Consensus is, the roster & coaching staff is too unproven to expect much this season, but next year is promising.

    I reviewed the schedule again yesterday, just to see if I was being unrealistic.

    I flip-flopped on a few games I had penciled in as wins and I still came up with 10-21 as an absolute low guess.

    That included beating no one of any substance in non-conference (9-6, including being swept by the in-state teams) ... and 1-15 in the conference (the lone win, Nebraska at home).

    I don't want to expect too much this season, but I can't see the record being much different than the previous 4 or 5 years.

    Does anyone think I'm still being too optimistic?


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    Re: Low-end W-L expectation

    Quote Originally Posted by cyclones500 View Post
    Not long ago, in my "ISU picked to finish last in the Big 12" thread (I think it was "Prepare to be Humbled"), I got some flak when I posted that the MBB team could realistically finish around .500.

    Consensus is, the roster & coaching staff is too unproven to expect much this season, but next year is promising.

    I reviewed the schedule again yesterday, just to see if I was being unrealistic.

    I flip-flopped on a few games I had penciled in as wins and I still came up with 10-21 as an absolute low guess.

    That included beating no one of any substance in non-conference (9-6, including being swept by the in-state teams) ... and 1-15 in the conference (the lone win, Nebraska at home).

    I don't want to expect too much this season, but I can't see the record being much different than the previous 4 or 5 years.

    Does anyone think I'm still being too optimistic?
    10-21 is "too optimistic"? Wow have we fallen.



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    Re: Low-end W-L expectation

    I am guessing we finish around the same record as last year. I personall dont think we'll be that bad where we get under 13 wins. So yeah im guessing like a couple games below .500 probably.



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    Re: Low-end W-L expectation

    I'm guessing 10, but I haven't really looked at the nonconference schedule. Really, what is the difference between 10 and 13 wins? I just want to see improvement in the players and coaches over the season. A couple of conference wins late would really help toward getting the team ready for next year.



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    Re: Low-end W-L expectation

    Quote Originally Posted by 1100011CS View Post
    10-21 is "too optimistic"? Wow have we fallen.
    No, I meant was I too optimistic to think 15 or 16 wins was realistic?

    10 wins is my cellar.

    Some fans think 11 or 12 wins is the ceiling.


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    Re: Low-end W-L expectation

    I would say 12 to 14.
    But honestly it doesn't matter as long as they play
    with effort and and improve through the year.



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    Re: Low-end W-L expectation

    People are being pretty realistic in my opinion. 10 at the low end; 15-16 at the high end; most likely 12-14. I think 13-15 with 2-3 wins in conference. I hope its better than that but I'm giving the team a pass for this year. I'm with Cyforce, as long as they play with effort and improve during the season I don't care what the final record is. Can we fast forward to next year now?



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    Re: Low-end W-L expectation

    I think we can easily win 10 games this year, if the new guys play REALLY well.

    But I dont see anymore than 13. Im going to really enjoy each and every win, this year more than ever.



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    Re: Low-end W-L expectation

    I suppose if we're below 10 I will be mad, but other than that I really don't care how we do this year. I'm just excited to see if Fred can hold his own and to see our new uptempo offense.



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    Re: Low-end W-L expectation

    I think people will be surprised this year. We have guards now we just have to hope that 2 freshmen can pan out somewhat. (ejim and godfrey hopefully) If so we have a somewhat decent team. Is the NIT in question probably not. But i do see us going .500.



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    Re: Low-end W-L expectation

    2 wins



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    Re: Low-end W-L expectation

    I do not see how people think Iowa is going to beat us in basketball. They are worse off then we are. But i think a .500 record is acheivable



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    Re: Low-end W-L expectation

    Quote Originally Posted by Clone9 View Post
    I suppose if we're below 10 I will be mad, but other than that I really don't care how we do this year. I'm just excited to see if Fred can hold his own and to see our new uptempo offense.
    It's OK to be mad, just make sure it's at the right person.



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    Re: Low-end W-L expectation

    Six "lose-able" preseason games: creighton, drake, UNI, Iowa, Cal, Virginia (only two fo those at home.

    SixTEEN "lose-able" games in the b12. I think we'll win at leat four.

    I get 13 wins worst-case....



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    Re: Low-end W-L expectation

    I just want to see hustle. If people are diving for loose balls, things will be okay.


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