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    Iowa State vs. Iowa Super Sim

    So earlier there was a thread of someone who did a single simulation of ISU-Iowa on NCAA 11. I got bored tonight so I took it a step further and did a statistical simulation study of 30 separate games, broke down the stats for scores and important players. So heeeeere we gooooo

    Overall
    Record: (26.67 win percentage), 3 - 1 in OT games

    Averages
    Score: Iowa 27.1667, ISU 19.7667 (7.4 PPG difference)
    Austen Arnaud: 17.7333-33.2333 attempts-completions/game (53.36 completion percentage), 238.367 YPG, 1.8 TD/game, .6 INT/game
    Alexander Robinson: 13.6333 carries/game, 62.2 YPG (4.56236 YPC), .433333 TD/game, .4 Fumbles/game
    Ricky Stanzi: 18-31.4 attempts-completions/game (57.3248 completion percentage), 254.467 YPG, 1.76667 TD/game, .466667 INT/game
    Adam Robinson: 25.3333 carries/game, 117.033 YPG (4.61974 YPC), 1.1 TD/game, .16667 Fumbles/game

    A major thing that pops out to me is the lack of carries that A-Rob gets for us, which is part of being labeled as a "Spread" offense in NCAA '11, so Arnaud throws more than usual. However, the YPC averages are similar for both backs, which bodes well against Iowa's arguably better defensive unit.

    Also, with only a 7.4 PPG difference in this simulation, the 14.5 point spread against us seems a bit much. It definitely falls within the 7-10 point underdog I figured we would be going into this game.

    Just figured there would be a few people on here who would like to see something like this, hope you enjoy.


    Keepers of the Faith -- The Unknown



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    Re: Iowa State vs. Iowa Super Sim

    I appreciate the effort, but I don't put much stock in video game simulations, nothing against you, but I hope our A-Rob rushes more than 14 times Saturday.



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    Re: Iowa State vs. Iowa Super Sim

    Quote Originally Posted by AlleyAddict View Post
    I appreciate the effort, but I don't put much stock in video game simulations, nothing against you, but I hope our A-Rob rushes more than 14 times Saturday.
    No joke, that's what I was surprised about. Like I said though, probably because we're listed as a pure spread offense than a spread option offense so Arnaud's stats are probably inflated and A-Rob's are probably low.


    Keepers of the Faith -- The Unknown



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    Re: Iowa State vs. Iowa Super Sim

    A-Rob fumbles as many times as he scores a TD?



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    Re: Iowa State vs. Iowa Super Sim

    Quote Originally Posted by CtownCyclone View Post
    A-Rob fumbles as many times as he scores a TD?
    He did last year I kid, I kid!


    Quote Originally Posted by hawkeyeh8r View Post
    not everyone that plays college football wants to go pro..thats probably part of why ISU sends fewer players to the draft than Iowa does

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    Re: Iowa State vs. Iowa Super Sim

    Do you have a 360 or ps3? If you have a 360 with live I would love to play ya in a ranked match.



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    Re: Iowa State vs. Iowa Super Sim

    I was at the first Iowa/ISU and at the first game which was a Freshman Game. Stats mean nothing in this game. It is all about the team with the biggest heart



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    Re: Iowa State vs. Iowa Super Sim

    Quote Originally Posted by geburgess View Post
    So earlier there was a thread of someone who did a single simulation of ISU-Iowa on NCAA 11. I got bored tonight so I took it a step further and did a statistical simulation study of 30 separate games, broke down the stats for scores and important players. So heeeeere we gooooo

    Overall
    Record: (26.67 win percentage), 3 - 1 in OT games

    Averages
    Score: Iowa 27.1667, ISU 19.7667 (7.4 PPG difference)
    Austen Arnaud: 17.7333-33.2333 attempts-completions/game (53.36 completion percentage), 238.367 YPG, 1.8 TD/game, .6 INT/game
    Alexander Robinson: 13.6333 carries/game, 62.2 YPG (4.56236 YPC), .433333 TD/game, .4 Fumbles/game
    Ricky Stanzi: 18-31.4 attempts-completions/game (57.3248 completion percentage), 254.467 YPG, 1.76667 TD/game, .466667 INT/game
    Adam Robinson: 25.3333 carries/game, 117.033 YPG (4.61974 YPC), 1.1 TD/game, .16667 Fumbles/game

    A major thing that pops out to me is the lack of carries that A-Rob gets for us, which is part of being labeled as a "Spread" offense in NCAA '11, so Arnaud throws more than usual. However, the YPC averages are similar for both backs, which bodes well against Iowa's arguably better defensive unit.

    Also, with only a 7.4 PPG difference in this simulation, the 14.5 point spread against us seems a bit much. It definitely falls within the 7-10 point underdog I figured we would be going into this game.

    Just figured there would be a few people on here who would like to see something like this, hope you enjoy.
    If I was ISU, I would stop the run and let Softball Stanzi puit the ball in the air in hopes of something bad happening.

    So far AA's QB coach and CPR say that he is greatly improved. We will see on Saturday.


    CFH HMagic bball season next year.
    Let my Fred's Four Horsemen ride: Georges, Hogue, Nader, and McKay.

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    Re: Iowa State vs. Iowa Super Sim

    Quote Originally Posted by geburgess View Post
    So earlier there was a thread of someone who did a single simulation of ISU-Iowa on NCAA 11. I got bored tonight so I took it a step further and did a statistical simulation study of 30 separate games, broke down the stats for scores and important players. So heeeeere we gooooo

    Overall
    Record: (26.67 win percentage), 3 - 1 in OT games

    Averages
    Score: Iowa 27.1667, ISU 19.7667 (7.4 PPG difference)
    Austen Arnaud: 17.7333-33.2333 attempts-completions/game (53.36 completion percentage), 238.367 YPG, 1.8 TD/game, .6 INT/game
    Alexander Robinson: 13.6333 carries/game, 62.2 YPG (4.56236 YPC), .433333 TD/game, .4 Fumbles/game
    Ricky Stanzi: 18-31.4 attempts-completions/game (57.3248 completion percentage), 254.467 YPG, 1.76667 TD/game, .466667 INT/game
    Adam Robinson: 25.3333 carries/game, 117.033 YPG (4.61974 YPC), 1.1 TD/game, .16667 Fumbles/game

    A major thing that pops out to me is the lack of carries that A-Rob gets for us, which is part of being labeled as a "Spread" offense in NCAA '11, so Arnaud throws more than usual. However, the YPC averages are similar for both backs, which bodes well against Iowa's arguably better defensive unit.

    Also, with only a 7.4 PPG difference in this simulation, the 14.5 point spread against us seems a bit much. It definitely falls within the 7-10 point underdog I figured we would be going into this game.

    Just figured there would be a few people on here who would like to see something like this, hope you enjoy.
    I wish I was still in college.



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    Re: Iowa State vs. Iowa Super Sim

    Quote Originally Posted by Secretcyfan View Post
    I was at the first Iowa/ISU and at the first game which was a Freshman Game. Stats mean nothing in this game. It is all about the team with the biggest heart
    Wow! You must hold the record for the oldest Iowan as the first game was October 1, 1894!



    "There are five real good recruits in the state. We got three of them. One couldn’t get into school, and the other went to (the University of) Iowa...which is about the same thing." - Coach Johnny Orr

  11. #11
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    Re: Iowa State vs. Iowa Super Sim

    Quote Originally Posted by Wesley View Post
    If I was ISU, I would stop the run and let Softball Stanzi puit the ball in the air in hopes of something bad happening.

    So far AA's QB coach and CPR say that he is greatly improved. We will see on Saturday.
    That's the exact defensive strategy I would take as well. Let the Manzi pass because we know we have a better secondary unit than front 7 on most days. I hope AA's improved, but he really has no where to go but up compared to last year's game... In the sim he never threw 4 INTs in a game...

    Quote Originally Posted by DRCHIRO View Post
    I wish I was still in college.
    Yeah, it's still pretty awesome. Would rather have been out last night but sickness and unwillingness to spend money with Iowa City this weekend and Kansas City next weekend played a factor.


    Keepers of the Faith -- The Unknown



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