Here is an interesting article on defensive interception rates and randomness from Football Study Hall:
The Art Of The Interception: Good Hands And Randomness - Football Study Hall
Basically, it says that there is little correlation in year-to-year interception rates by defenders. Just because someone intercepted a large percentage of their total passes defended one year, doesn't mean that they will do the same the next year (and vice versa).
It's been shown via play-by-play data that fumble recovery rates are typically 50/50 between the offense and defense, and now it looks like interceptions aren't necessarily repeatable either. There is a lot more luck/randomness involved in generating a turnover than people think.
That is all fine and good, but we will always allot interceptions to skill when ISU has a lot of them and to luck when our opponents do.:spinny:
I am certain that Head Coach Lovie Smith does not subscribe to this philosophy.
Originally Posted by klamath632
beat me to it